Polymarket Bets: Will Putin and Zelenskyy Meet in 2025? Traders Lean Heavily No

A potential face-to-face meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has become the focus of speculation on prediction platform Polymarket.

The market, titled "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?", has drawn steady trading volume as bettors assess whether the war-time adversaries will agree to direct talks this year. So far, sentiment is skeptical. Traders currently price the probability of a meeting at low double-digit odds, signaling doubt that diplomacy will thaw enough for the two leaders to sit down before year's end.

While intermediaries and global actors have periodically pushed for negotiations, both Moscow and Kyiv have publicly maintained hardline stances. Previous attempts at high-level talks collapsed early in the war, and no official roadmap for a 2025 meeting has surfaced.

Still, prediction market watchers note that geopolitical shocks can move prices dramatically. Any credible reports of summit planning could spark sharp swings in odds — just as ceasefire markets have shifted after military or diplomatic headlines.

For now, however, the Polymarket crowd believes the status quo of stalemate and indirect communication will continue through 2025.