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Polymarket traders give just a 7% chance of a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire before October 2025, with nearly $7M already wagered.
Polymarket traders doubt Putin and Zelenskyy will meet in 2025, pricing the chances at low odds despite global calls for negotiations.
Polymarket traders are betting on whether Taylor Swift will be pregnant in 2025, with odds strongly leaning 'No.'
Polymarket traders favor Gavin Newsom at 32% for the 2028 Democratic nomination, with AOC sitting at 11% in early speculation.
Polymarket traders lean heavily toward a 25 bps Fed cut in September, with 81% odds and $52M in trading volume.
Polymarket assigns just 26% odds to a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire in 2025, with $18M reflecting trader skepticism.
Polymarket prices modest odds of Lisa Cook leaving the Fed in 2025, with 31% by year-end and $1M traded.
Chelsea dominates Fulham odds at 75% in live EPL action, with $865k traded on the London derby.
Spurs hold a narrow 52% edge over Bournemouth in tight EPL betting, with $244k traded pre-match.
Polymarket traders price 85% odds that MrBeast hits his $40M clean water goal, with $4M in betting volume.
Polymarket puts 24% odds on a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting in 2025, with $1M reflecting diplomatic skepticism.
Polymarket traders price low 13% odds of a Taylor Swift pregnancy announcement in 2025 amid career focus.
Jannik Sinner dominates US Open men's betting at 51% odds, leading a competitive Grand Slam field.
Polymarket sets 67% odds on Lord Miles completing a dangerous 40-day water fast—serious health risks noted.
Polymarket shows 95% confidence in Bayrou-related French political timeline by September 30th.